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Hard-Hit Rate

Hard-hit rate is the percentage of batted balls hit above a set exit-velocity threshold (typically 95 mph in MLB, adjusted by level). It is a better measure of contact quality than batting average.

Because batting average is noisy and luck-dependent, hard-hit rate is a more stable signal of how well a hitter is actually striking the ball. A high hard-hit rate with mediocre results usually predicts improvement; a low one with good results often predicts regression. It is adjusted downward for youth and amateur levels.

A hitter batting .250 but with a 50% hard-hit rate is likely "unlucky" and due for better results.

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